How a zoo break-in changed the life of an owl called Flaco, Naked mole rats are fertile until they die, study finds. Forecast Discussion The area was in a Red Flag Warning due to high winds. Weather Safety Rules That is why we will look at its weather influence in the first part of 2022, going from Winter Into Spring, when this cold ocean anomaly will finally start to disappear. Think of it this way, let's look at winter storms. It is a sudden rise of temperatures in the polar stratosphere during the cold season, as the name suggests. Millard West's Drew Borner (4) celebrates his run in the fourth inning with his teammates in the dugout during the Millard West vs. Elkhorn South baseball game at Elkhorn South High School on Friday. April 22-23rd: A powerful low-pressure system produced high winds across the area from the 22nd into the 23rd. Below we have a prolonged history of solar activity where you can see the very low solar activity during the Maunder Minimum. That is why a QBO does not mean a fixed weather situation, as a west QBO response for example can be different during a La Nina or an El Nino. Considering that the QBO is in the tropics, there is a strong linkage to the ENSO, that we have mentioned already above. Boston and Chicago are two of thirteen large US cities with year-round winds averaging above 10 mph. A key reason it's been so windy this year across the region is because a very active and strong jet stream or storm track has been focused over the . This way, ENSO has a major impact on the tropical rainfall and pressure patterns and impacts the ocean-atmosphere feedback system. It shows the La Nina reaching peak cooling in January. There is still a chance that winds may top 30 mph the rest of this evening, as a cold front approaches our region. Regional Weather Map A lot depends on the existing pressure systems in the North Atlantic. We will release regular weekly and monthly weather updates for the ongoing winter season and as fresh forecasts and data are available, so make sure to bookmark our page. Research by Liang Chen, a climate scientist at Illinois State Water Survey at the University of Illinois, has concluded that climate change is likely to strengthen some seasonal patterns already at play in the central U.S., including Nebraska: stronger winds in the winter and spring and quieter winds in the summer. By comparison, average daily wind speeds drop markedly to 11.2 mph in May, 10.6 mph in June, 9.8 mph in July and 9.6 mph in August. The main feature is a strong high-pressure system in the North Pacific and low pressure over Canada. All were records for winter. Looking at the average snowfall for an El Nino winter, we can see that there is less snowfall in the northern United States during the El Nino seasons. It is interesting to see, that in a La Nina spring season, there is a substantially higher frequency of hailstorms and especially tornadoes in the southern and southeastern parts of the United States. Over the past five years, we've have had 14-17 days of windy weather during the. You can see the winter solstice on the image below when the northern regions receive the lowest amount of solar energy, compared to regions further to the south. Winds are very sensitive to subtle characteristics of the atmosphere, like temperature differences between atmospheric layers, soil moisture and topography. Current Hazards The 'extreme cruelty' around the global trade in frog legs, What does cancer smell like? The Union For Contemporary Art announced that they are going to turn the F.J. Carey Block building into the Shirley Tyree Theater. Aviation ", "Extreme Storms and Floods Concretely Linked to Climate Change? We see the typical low-pressure area in the North Pacific and also over the southern United States. Meanwhile, aEuropean study is attempting to find accurate historical records of wind speeds. If we combine all Stratospheric Warming events in the past decades and look at the weather 0-30 days after these events, we get an interesting, but perhaps an expected weather picture. nancy.gaarder@owh.com, twitter.com/gaarder, Source: National Weather Service (1960 to present), Nancy Gaarder helps cover public safety and weather events as an editor on The World-Herald's breaking news desk. Severe storms developed over south-central South Dakota during the evening hours of . But it usually still plays an important role, as it changes the position of the entering jet stream from the west. Author: www.dallasnews.com . As history shows, La Nina can have an important influence on the Spring tornado season in the United States. So far this year, our average wind speed for March and April has been about 13.7 mph. When does spring start? Decision Support Page I wouldn't read too much into it. Looking more closely at the past 3 years, we can see how each phase descended over time. When the pressure is different from one location to another, you . But, these temperature drops usually happen because of the overall reduced output of the sun on a prolonged multi-year scale. With colder temperatures over the pole, the temperature difference towards the south increases. The reason for the warming can actually be seen already, as it is lurking below the ocean surface in the equatorial Pacific. The next image below will show you the polar vortex at a much lower altitude, around 5km/3miles. 3/ Try peppermint oil. Keep in mind . Air is descending in the eastern Pacific, causing stable and dry weather, while lower pressure and rising air cause frequent thunderstorms and a lot of rainfall over the western Pacific. Winter is still ongoing and driven largely by a cold ENSO phase. Frank Saunders, chief meteorologist at the Met Office, said: "Significant disruption is possible from both Storm . We can see an example of a full solar cycle on the image below, as the sun goes from a minimum to maximum activity, and back to a minimum. The image below is from NASA analysis. Here, smoke and debris blow from a wildfire near Crescent, Iowa, as the area experienced high winds last month. NWS Then a high-pressure area began building from the North Atlantic. We can observe large-scale pressure changes in the tropics as ENSO shifts between warm and cold phases. Why wetlands are so critical for life on Earth, Rest in compost? The conditions are mostly warmer than normal and drier than normal in the north. And also, warm anomalies must persist on a multi-seasonal time scale. To create a record of wind measurements around the world, Young and colleagues assembled global satellite measurements dating back to 1985. In the days immediately after he worked a frightening Nebraska dust storm, State Patrol Lt. Michael Korte said he continued to find dust and grit on himself and in his cruiser. [More: Yes, it. All NOAA. In the past 20 years, winds have picked up around 5 percent on average. After watching the video you should be able to answer the following questions: -Is the polar jet north or south of us. The southern United States is forecast to have normal to drier conditions, expected for a La Nina season. A grand minimum means an unusually long phase of low solar activity, and global weather changes as a result like it happened during the Maunder Minimum. Positive values indicate westerly winds, while negative values indicate easterly winds. We decided to take a deeper dive into the numbers. The short answer is yes. Actually only February has averaged windier than normal this year. Prior to the SSW event, the polar vortex was colder than normal and had good circulation. With the development of satellite and radar technology, the planet's temperature and rainfall have been tracked like never before. Can we bring a species back from the brink? High winds wrapped a tarp around a light pole on Thursday. That period was better known as the little ice age, as global temperatures dropped in response. Definitely need some rain. The January pressure pattern forecast below shows a strong signature of the La Nina. Tornado Machine Plans, Weather Safety "Many people are noticing it," said Gannon Rush, a climatologist at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln. The last time I can remember thinking the same thing was in late May of 2006. The changes will start slowly, but the main shift will start to occur during the 2022 warm season. We have already had 16 days with 30+ mph winds. This naturally results in warmer air at the equator and colder air at the poles. That can later release the cold arctic air into Europe and the United States. Unauthorized use is prohibited. New AI may pass the famed Turing test. Other aspects of the climate, however, haven't gotten as much attention. Later in the season . This is creating a tight pressure gradient, a sharp change in pressure over a relatively short distance, creating strong, easterly winds in Florida. In such a pattern, cold air can quickly spread into the midwest and the central/eastern United States, as we have seen this winter already, despite warmer than normal conditions being forecast in the seasonal average. Nebraska takes the field for the start of the Nebraska football spring game in Lincoln on Saturday. The low humidity, the cooler temperature, and the breeze/wind reminded us of October weather. Many people are noticing the strong and relentless winds this spring. Even my Spanish needle is dead and those things could probably survive the apocalypse. That has formed last month and is set to stay into the early Spring season. Airflow around high pressure is clockwise which gives us the easterly wind component off of the Atlantic. At this point, we will not be able to talk about a solar cycle minimum anymore, but a decent path towards a new maximum. Air Quality For an official warm phase to be declared, warm anomalies have to exceed +0.5 degrees in the Nino 3.4 region. The precipitation pattern follows the colder air, as a supply of moisture is available. 1-Stop Climate A radiosonde analysis from Singapore also shows the wind direction above the tropics. In North Texas, April's average wind speed is 12.2 mph and March's average wind speed is 12.1 mph. A four-alarm fire burns at a senior living center under construction on Applied Parkway near 144th and Pacific Streets on Sunday. Strong winds are a normal characteristic of winter and spring in the Great Plains, so breezy conditions are no surprise this time of year. You have permission to edit this article. Get the daily forecast and severe weather alerts in your inbox! Because of that flat west and northwest flow (the jet stream moves from west to east in the Northern Hemisphere), the Front Range's recent winds have been mostly so-called chinook winds. More precipitation is also forecast over the northwestern and northeastern parts of the United States. The source of the warming usually comes with the energy from the lower layers, as strong weather systems can actually deflect a lot of energy upwards into the stratosphere, disrupting its dynamics. Which travel companies promote harmful wildlife activities? America's windiest major city is Boston, where overall the wind blows two miles per hour faster than in Chicago. - WFAA; 3 3.DFW | Complete Wind Report & Forecast - WindAlert; 4 4.NBC 5 Forecast: Fantastic Fall Weather; 5 5.Here's why it's so windy in North Texas today | KERA News; 6 6.7-Day Forecast 32.8N 96.78W - National Weather Service; Behind yesterday's front, a strong high pressure system has regained control of the weather pattern. But what is this polar vortex, and why is it such a crucial piece of the weather puzzle in any year? The orbiting satellites shoot radio waves at Earth and listen for the echoes that bounce back into space. It nicely shows just how regularly this wind shifting really is. * This is also the most active season in eight years after several. It introduced warmer temperatures (stratospheric warming), and it also broke into the stratospheric circulation. On the image below, we have a simulation from a recent study. Email: nancy.gaarder@owh.com. It's surprisingly dry right now in my section of Florida. Want to learn more about the Weather? Major changes are coming in 2022 across the atmosphere and the oceans, creating different weather patterns into the second half of the year, and especially in the cold season later in the year. Wind power is generated by wind turbines. ", Copyright 1996-2015 National Geographic SocietyCopyright 2015-2023 National Geographic Partners, LLC. Here's what we're expecting this weekend, An ancient meteor shower is peaking this week, Gov. National Weather Service Des Moines tweeted this week what we've all been thinking: "It wouldn't be so bad if it weren't for the wind!". Going straight to the point, we have a very interesting image below from NOAA Climate. Questions? Incoming Storm Dudley will be followed by Storm Eunice in a double whammy of windy weather set to pummel the country. You now know well what ENSO and its warm and cold phases are. Below we have an image that shows the average winter pressure pattern from multiple La Nina winters. Here's why it's been so windy. Tornado Alley is a nickname given to an area in the southern plains of the central United States, that experiences a high frequency of tornadoes and other severe weather events each year from late winter to late spring. Some of the highest wind reports include 79 mph at Herreid, 75 mph 5 miles east of Danforth, 69 mph at Webster, and 4 miles southwest of Mound City. These westerlies higher up at 10mb are just an early indicator of what is to come. It might seem complicated, but the main takeaway is that the QBO helps with the overall tropical forcing, including the ENSO. It promotes a high-pressure system in the North Pacific, that usually corresponds to the pressure drop over western Canada and the northwestern United States. This has allowed cold air from the north to dip down into Colorado more often than usual, resulting in more windy days. Windy spring. Also, if you have seen this article in the Google App (Discover) feed, click the like button () there to see more of our forecasts and the latest articles on weather and nature in general. Louisville, KY6201 Theiler LaneLouisville, KY 40229-1476502-969-8842Comments? Below we have the ocean temperature forecast for the early 2022 Summer season, from the ECMWF. Some studies including one published in 2019 and an earlier one in 2011 have found that wind speeds have been increasing globally in recent years, said Arqumedes Ruiz-Columbi, an instructor of wind energy at Texas Tech University's Wind Institute. We tend to get windier days in the spring and fall. 2021 I don't know why but it still looks really cheap. A wind forecast below for the 30mb level (~24km/15mi), shows this easterly wind stream above the tropical regions. ". Log In. After the jet stream passes over Canada and the United States, it moves into the North Atlantic, There it can take many different paths towards Europe. A specific phase (cold/warm) usually develops between late summer and fall and typically lasts into next Spring. That is a stark contrast to the 30Mb level, that was shown above, which currently has a full-blown east QBO in progress. But as we have seen above, it is linked to the QBO, and the QBO is linked with the stratosphere and the polar vortex, so there is a linkage to the weather in some way. A pedestrian finds a moment in the sun while walking underneath Interstate 480 in downtown Omaha this week. The solar cycle lasts 11 years. But instead of the temperatures, we are now dealing with wind, or rather its direction. Press J to jump to the feed. KY Mesonet, Latest Forecasts Please try another search. Local Climate Page As this year's tragic fire in south-central Nebraska has underscored: With virtually all of Nebraska in drought, understanding the relationship between wind and drought also is critically important. In addition to fueling wildfire, windy weather during drought saps plants of vitality and depletes soil moisture. Generally, ENSO exhibits an important influence on the Jet stream in the Pacific Ocean, and consequently also downstream and upstream around the Northern Hemisphere. The KX Storm Team now has the data to prove it. It reveals the easterly winds around the 15-50mb level, confirming the east QBO phase is currently active. Evansville Hazardous Weather Outlook On the other hand, a Polar Vortex breakdown is just as intense as it sounds. Millard West won the game 16-0 in five innings. Then we also have a major change in the tropical stratosphere wind phases, going from east to west, also modified by the increasing solar cycle activity. The regular cycle of the QBO can be seen in a quite simple image. ECMWF produces these extended seasonal forecasts every few months. Here's a look at the answer in the video above. Going into Spring, we see a return to the neutral phase (between 0.5 and -0.5), with an increased chance of an El Nino developing later in 2022. Past Derby/Oaks/Thunder Weather Notice how the recent solar cycles are generally weaker compared to the earlier ones. So it has been a bit windier around Houston than normal. Jackson This year, wind . There was a lot of talk about the sun entering a new grand minimum. This squirrel stopped to nibble on flowers outside Andrews Hall on the campus of the University of Nebraska-Lincoln earlier this month. The average wind speed since April 1 at DIA has been about 13 mph, more than 2 mph higher than the average for that time period. I'd expect this sort of wind during the winter or as a hurricane approaches but this could just be selective memory. The calmer time of year lasts for 3.5 months, from June 1 to September 15. Rush, the climatologist, said a lack of a data calibrated, consistent measurements at millions of sites globally over many, many years makes it difficult to fully understand wind patterns and trends. Washington state surpassed its all-time high for June, with at least one part of the state reaching . Gusts on April 7 exceeded 60 mph in Nebraska,. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. Research shows climate change is likely to strengthen some seasonal patterns already at play in the central U.S.: stronger winds in the winter and spring and quieter winds in the summer. Scientists are trying to figure out why. April 2022 has already had 16 days of windy weather. The image below shows the temperature anomaly in the ENSO 3.4 region and reveals a stronger cooling since early October due to stronger trade winds. This means that the QBO is in the east mode. But note, that the image above is for the NINO3 area which covers the eastern region. There's no storms in the forecast, but the National Weather Service issued a wind advisory for all of North Texas until 7 p.m. North Texas had no storms in the forecast, but wind gusts were . During the El Nino winter season, we have a strong and persistent low-pressure area in the North Pacific. Once these clippers pass, they have northerly winds, so the dominant wind direction has been from the north." The average wind speed at 33 feet above sea level in South Dakota is 12.8 mph. We are currently focusing mostly on the Stratospheric Polar Vortex, as it plays a very important role in the weather development throughout the season. Date Submitted: 08/02/2021 11:42 PM . The calmest month of the year in Edmonton is August, with an average hourly wind speed of 8.1 miles per hour. "Figuring it out" is the operative phrase, because wind is a particularly difficult area of study. But, being over the Equator, the QBO is directly connected to the higher levels of the atmosphere, and the solar activity. HEAT.gov Meteorologist Jennifer Ketchmark breaks it down. "My car was full of dirt, in every nook and cranny there was more dirt inside my car than outside.". That is called a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event. Below we have a special graph, that shows the zonal wind anomalies for the past 40 years at around 24km/15mi altitude. Keep in mind that this is an average of sustained winds. That is the currently active La Nina phase. This is a heavily disrupted circulation, that helps to create a free path for colder polar air to move out of the polar regions. Selover says strong winds are the result of significant pressure differences between high- and low-pressure systems More winds mean there could also be an increase in wildfires. Looking at the latest high-resolution depth analysis under the ENSO regions, we still see colder than normal temperatures below the surface in the east. That's why it has been so windy too, as we are stuck between a strong high pressure center to the north and that low south. Below we can see the solar cycles through the last decades, and the current solar minimum. The reason for the persistent and at times strong wind is a result of a big area of high pressure parked over the Carolinas. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. Records go back to 1899. SKYWARN. The reason behind Wednesday's strong winds is easier to see by looking at our atmosphere's setup closer to the surface. As we reach Summer, we are fully in a west (positive) QBO phase and a new negative starting above for 2023. Creighton's Tommy Lamb pitches against Arizona at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha on Monday. Going forward, we will be looking at the latest forecast data for the Winter-Spring transition period. Gusts on April 7 exceeded 60 mph in Nebraska, generating a dust storm along Interstate 80. We've seen sustained winds as high as 20 mph at times this afternoon, and wind gusts have reached 30 mp "It's created problems like wildfires and grass fires," Smith said. "In other years where we have enough precipitation, it's moist out, it might be windy, but it doesn't cause any problems." Users will get flair that indicates if they are an approved meteorologist as well as flare for their state. A plastic bag gets stuck on a Lime electric scooter during high winds on Thursday. Each individual warming event is different and does not automatically mean a strong winter pattern by itself. 1-Stop Winter Forecast But as the polar regions are cooling, the atmosphere further south is still relatively warm as it continues to receive energy from the Sun. So lets go into the atmosphere, and look at the major changes coming in 2022. That is reflected in the global airmass temperatures, as we see a strong cold pool in western Canada. There's a pressure gradient. This year has been usual in the number of windy days so yes, it has been a windy spring. High winds blow around recyclables. There is also cold air in the upper levels of the atmosphere and when we get the heating of the day,. Thought it was just me. Steven Senne/Associated Press. South-central Nebraska: A massive, wind-driven fire ignited April 7 and claimed the life of Elwood, Nebraska, Fire Chief Darren Krull in a crash. Every year as we head into autumn, the polar regions start to receive much less sunlight and sun energy. Research is spotty, OPS, teachers union agree on new contract with $7,200 boost in base pay, Windy, stormy weather in the forecast for Omaha, Nebraskan dies fighting wildfire, 15 others injured this weekend, Rains have eased drought and fire risk in Nebraska for now, Weather researchers crisscross Nebraska, Great Plains, studying storms, Winter storm claims life in Nebraska; conditions improve next week. Looking closer at the last few years, we can see even better how last year, in 2021, the solar activity picked up again, now continuing into 2022. Below we have the latest global ocean temperature anomaly from NOAA. Extremely strong. Submit a Storm Report Western Kansas: Dust storms have blocked the sun and hindered travel on numerous days. There's currently a strong low pressure system in northwestern Minnesota that's bringing high winds to our region, according to the NWS. The strong pressure difference led to windy times in our area. Cold air intrusions in the U.S., including snowstorms in the Northeast, have contributed to a clash of air masses which causes higher winds, the Star-Telegram previously reported. This directly translates into the global circulation, affecting the jet stream on both Hemispheres over time. Extremely strong winds caused by storms have increased even faster, jumping 10 percent over 20 years, according to the new analysis of global satellite data. National Weather Service We are starting off with the current weather conditions, brought on from the 2021 cold season. ENSO is short for El Nio Southern Oscillation. Each phase slowly descends down over time, from the middle stratosphere around 10mb (~30km/18.5mi) down to the top of the troposphere around 100mb (~17-18km/11mi). These forecasts only show the prevailing or average picture over the course of 3 months, which can contain a lot of sub-seasonal dynamics. A National Geographic team has made the first ascent of the remote Mount Michael, looking for a lava lake in the volcanos crater. A sudden rise of temperatures in the tropics as ENSO shifts between warm and cold phases are on. Year lasts for 3.5 months, from June 1 to September 15 and also over the northwestern and parts! Month and is set to stay into the early 2022 Summer season from! Lamb pitches against Arizona at Charles Schwab field in Omaha on Monday in frog,. And sun energy Streets on Sunday warming ), shows this easterly wind stream above tropical. 144Th and Pacific Streets on Sunday planet 's temperature and rainfall have been tracked never... Eastern region dust Storm along Interstate 80 waves at Earth and listen for the Winter-Spring transition.... To prove it sudden stratospheric warming ), and look at winter storms and! That was shown above, which can contain a lot of sub-seasonal dynamics but the main takeaway is that QBO! 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